Tropical Storm CARLOS
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TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2009
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 126.1W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 126.1W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 125.6W
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 9.5N 127.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 9.7N 130.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 10.0N 132.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 10.4N 134.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.0N 138.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 11.5N 144.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 11.5N 151.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 126.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
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FORECASTER BERG
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