Tropical Storm IDA

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009               
0900 UTC TUE NOV 10 2009                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1      10      19      NA      NA      NA      NA
TROP DEPRESSION 36      45      38      NA      NA      NA      NA
TROPICAL STORM  61      42      37      NA      NA      NA      NA
HURRICANE        2       4       6      NA      NA      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        2       3       5      NA      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    30KT    25KT    NA      NA      NA      NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   2( 2)  12(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  2   7( 9)  15(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  2   6( 8)  16(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  5  10(15)  14(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  4   8(12)  12(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 11  13(24)   9(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  6   6(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA FL   50  2   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
PENSACOLA FL   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOBILE AL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOBILE AL      50  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GULFPORT MS    50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BURAS LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
JACKSON MS     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
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