Tropical Depression IDA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
0300 UTC SAT NOV 07 2009
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  84.0W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  84.0W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  83.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.1N  84.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.4N  84.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.7N  85.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.4N  86.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N  88.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.5N  87.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N  85.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  84.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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