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Hurricane FRED


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HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  32.4W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  32.4W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  32.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.9N  33.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N  34.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.2N  34.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.7N  34.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.7N  34.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N  34.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 23.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  32.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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