Hurricane NORBERT

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HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0300 UTC WED OCT 08 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.0W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.0W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 108.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.1N 110.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.9N 111.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.8N 112.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.1N 113.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 30.0N 108.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 109.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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