Tropical Storm ELIDA

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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
0900 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  96.7W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 20NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  96.7W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  96.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 13.3N  98.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.2N 100.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.0N 102.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.7N 104.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 18.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  96.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
 
 
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