Hurricane KYLE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KYLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
0900 UTC SUN SEP 28 2008
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X 10 21 32 NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 1 5 35 39 28 NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 73 73 52 37 35 NA NA
HURRICANE 26 22 3 4 5 NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 26 20 3 3 4 NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X 1 X X 1 NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60KT 55KT 40KT 35KT 30KT NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X 14(14) 5(19) X(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21)
SYDNEY NS 34 X 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HALIFAX NS 34 3 42(45) 1(46) X(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47)
HALIFAX NS 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
YARMOUTH NS 34 24 67(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X 49(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MONCTON NB 34 1 58(59) 11(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
MONCTON NB 50 X 14(14) 10(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
MONCTON NB 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 3 78(81) 4(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
ST JOHN NB 50 X 33(33) 5(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
ST JOHN NB 64 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
EASTPORT ME 34 6 77(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
EASTPORT ME 50 X 32(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
EASTPORT ME 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 9 52(61) X(61) X(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
BAR HARBOR ME 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
AUGUSTA ME 34 5 20(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
PORTLAND ME 34 6 9(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
CONCORD NH 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BOSTON MA 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HYANNIS MA 34 24 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
NANTUCKET MA 34 38 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HARTFORD CT 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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