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Hurricane IKE


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HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0300 UTC WED SEP 10 2008
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL
RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR FLORIDA BAY
AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE IS DISCONTINUED.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  84.3W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  30SW  90NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  84.3W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  84.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.9N  85.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.6N  87.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.2N  89.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.6N  91.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.5N  95.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 30.5N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 35.0N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  84.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
 
 
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