Hurricane IKE

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HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
2100 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...
CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG  ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.  A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...
CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND
MATANZAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED  WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THAT ISLAND.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...AND SOUTH
FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  74.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 180SE  60SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  74.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  74.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N  76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N  78.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.4N  80.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.2N  82.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.0N  88.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N  91.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N  74.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
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FORECASTER RHOME
 
 
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