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Tropical Storm DOLLY


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008
1500 UTC MON JUL 21 2008
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE
TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE NORTHWARD TO PORT O'CONNOR.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS
COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S.
BORDER...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD
TO RIO SAN FERNANDO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  89.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  89.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  88.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N  91.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.2N  93.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.1N  95.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.9N  96.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.5N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 27.0N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N  89.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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