Tropical Storm DOLLY

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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008
2100 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  85.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 175SE 100SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  85.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  84.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.1N  86.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N  89.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.9N  92.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.8N  94.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.0N  96.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 26.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 27.0N 101.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  85.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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