Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  64
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0300 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  48.8W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT.......110NE 150SE 110SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  48.8W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  49.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 42.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  75SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 110SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 45.4N  42.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  35SW   0NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 50.2N  37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 55.4N  32.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE  75SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 150SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 63.5N  20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 275SE 150SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...ABSORBED
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  48.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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