Tropical Storm KIKO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
1500 UTC SUN OCT 21 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 197N 1078W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 197N 1078W 50 21 3(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
12 197N 1078W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 201N 1088W 34 27 24(51) 5(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
24 201N 1088W 50 2 8(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 201N 1088W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 206N 1102W 34 1 11(12) 14(26) 5(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
36 206N 1102W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 206N 1102W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 211N 1120W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20)
48 211N 1120W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 211N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 220N 1155W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
72 220N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 220N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 235N 1190W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
96 235N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 235N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 245N 1230W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 245N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 245N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 45 40 35 30 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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