Tropical Depression FIFTEEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
0900 UTC TUE OCT 16 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 143N 1087W 34 34 12(46) 3(49) 2(51) 1(52) 1(53) X(53)
12 143N 1087W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 143N 1087W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 144N 1084W 34 28 13(41) 3(44) 3(47) 1(48) 1(49) X(49)
24 144N 1084W 50 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
24 144N 1084W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 146N 1083W 34 23 11(34) 5(39) 3(42) 2(44) 1(45) X(45)
36 146N 1083W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 146N 1083W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 147N 1085W 34 25 10(35) 4(39) 3(42) 2(44) 1(45) 1(46)
48 147N 1085W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
48 147N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 150N 1090W 34 17 8(25) 4(29) 6(35) 2(37) 1(38) 1(39)
72 150N 1090W 50 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
72 150N 1090W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 155N 1095W 34 4 4( 8) 5(13) 8(21) 4(25) 1(26) 1(27)
96 155N 1095W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
96 155N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 160N 1100W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 2(17) 1(18)
120 160N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
120 160N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 35 35 35 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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