Tropical Storm ALVIN
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TROPICAL STORM ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012007
1500 UTC TUE MAY 29 2007
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.2W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.2W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 114.0W
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 12.5N 114.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.4N 115.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 12.4N 116.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 12.5N 117.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 12.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 12.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 114.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
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FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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