Tropical Depression FOURTEEN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 144N 277W 34 15 9(24) 1(25) X(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
12 144N 277W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 144N 277W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 150N 290W 34 2 19(21) 7(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
24 150N 290W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 150N 290W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 155N 305W 34 X 6( 6) 13(19) 7(26) 1(27) X(27) 1(28)
36 155N 305W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 155N 305W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 165N 325W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 4(20) 1(21) 1(22)
48 165N 325W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
48 165N 325W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 185N 345W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 2(14) 1(15)
72 185N 345W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 185N 345W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 355W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11)
96 200N 355W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
96 200N 355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 365W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
120 225N 365W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 35 35 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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