Tropical Depression THIRTEEN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LA PESCO MX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
TAMPICO MX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TUXPAN MX 34 1 6( 7) 9(16) 7(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
VERACRUZ MX 34 1 8( 9) 8(17) 5(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FRONTERA MX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 207N 951W 34 27 14(41) 7(48) 3(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52)
12 207N 951W 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
12 207N 951W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 205N 954W 34 23 18(41) 7(48) 4(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54)
24 205N 954W 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
24 205N 954W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 203N 959W 34 11 18(29) 11(40) 6(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48)
36 203N 959W 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
36 203N 959W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 201N 966W 34 2 13(15) 11(26) 7(33) 4(37) X(37) X(37)
48 201N 966W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 201N 966W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 200N 977W 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 6(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21)
72 200N 977W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 200N 977W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 20 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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