Tropical Depression EIGHT
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
0300 UTC THU SEP 13 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 139N 476W 34 24 17(41) 4(45) 1(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47)
12 139N 476W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
12 139N 476W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 143N 486W 34 6 26(32) 11(43) 3(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48)
24 143N 486W 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12)
24 143N 486W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 146N 495W 34 1 15(16) 20(36) 7(43) 4(47) 1(48) X(48)
36 146N 495W 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13)
36 146N 495W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 150N 506W 34 X 5( 5) 16(21) 12(33) 9(42) 2(44) X(44)
48 150N 506W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14)
48 150N 506W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
72 160N 535W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 18(26) 7(33) 2(35)
72 160N 535W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12)
72 160N 535W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
96 170N 565W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) 3(23)
96 170N 565W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
96 170N 565W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 180N 590W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15)
120 180N 590W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 180N 590W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 55 50 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH
NNNN
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