Tropical Depression EIGHT
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
2100 UTC WED SEP 12 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 139N 467W 34 23 22(45) 4(49) 1(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51)
12 139N 467W 50 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
12 139N 467W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 143N 479W 34 4 36(40) 10(50) 3(53) 3(56) X(56) 1(57)
24 143N 479W 50 X 8( 8) 5(13) 2(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17)
24 143N 479W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
36 147N 488W 34 1 23(24) 21(45) 5(50) 5(55) 1(56) 1(57)
36 147N 488W 50 X 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20)
36 147N 488W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
48 151N 498W 34 X 8( 8) 20(28) 12(40) 9(49) 3(52) X(52)
48 151N 498W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 5(17) X(17) 1(18)
48 151N 498W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
72 162N 522W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 19(32) 8(40) 2(42)
72 162N 522W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) 1(16)
72 162N 522W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 175N 555W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 12(22) 5(27)
96 175N 555W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
96 175N 555W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 185N 585W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 6(18)
120 185N 585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
120 185N 585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 45 50 55 60 60 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN
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