Tropical Depression INGRID

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082007
2100 UTC SAT SEP 15 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  55.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  55.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  54.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.7N  56.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.8N  58.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 23.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 25.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  55.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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