Hurricane FELIX

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HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
2100 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE
CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THERE TONIGHT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  79.5W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  79.5W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  78.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.5N  81.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.9N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.5N  86.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.2N  88.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.6N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 20.5N  99.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  79.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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