Hurricane DEAN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
0900 UTC MON AUG 20 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130
KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) X(20) X(20)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) X(26) X(26)
LA PESCO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LA PESCO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 32(40) X(40) X(40)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)
TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 29(40) X(40) X(40)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15)
TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 12(25) X(25) X(25)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FRONTERA MX 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 18(36) 4(40) X(40) X(40)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MERIDA MX 34 X 10(10) 52(62) 8(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71)
MERIDA MX 50 X 1( 1) 25(26) 5(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
COZUMEL MX 34 3 62(65) 11(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
COZUMEL MX 50 X 21(21) 8(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
COZUMEL MX 64 X 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
BELIZE 34 1 25(26) 21(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
BELIZE 50 X 7( 7) 10(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BELIZE 64 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GUANAJA 34 3 24(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
GUANAJA 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 3 13(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ISLE OF PINES 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CIENFUEGOS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MONTEGO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 181N 835W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 181N 835W 50 89 6(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 181N 835W 64 61 17(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
24 188N 870W 34 4 84(88) 8(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 188N 870W 50 X 67(67) 11(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 188N 870W 64 X 41(41) 15(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
36 196N 905W 34 X 6( 6) 60(66) 13(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81)
36 196N 905W 50 X 1( 1) 38(39) 9(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
36 196N 905W 64 X X( X) 23(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
48 205N 940W 34 X X( X) 13(13) 44(57) 12(69) X(69) X(69)
48 205N 940W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 11(41) X(41) X(41)
48 205N 940W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21)
72 220N 1005W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10)
72 220N 1005W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 220N 1005W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 135 140 75 90 30 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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