Hurricane DEAN

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HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
2100 UTC MON AUG 20 2007
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN TO VERACRUZ.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...ALL WARNINGS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES
OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD.  AT 5
PM EDT...ALL OTHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN CUBA ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF
BELIZE...ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM THE
BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESSO SOUTHWARD TO
CIUDAD DEL CARMEN.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  84.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  918 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  85SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  84.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  83.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.5N  86.7W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  85SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.3N  90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  50SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.2N  93.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  75SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.0N  97.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  50SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.5N 103.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  84.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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