Hurricane PAUL

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HURRICANE PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
0900 UTC TUE OCT 24 2006
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST
COAST...AND FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST HAS BEEN
REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON
THE WEST COAST...AND FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM
MAZATLAN TO SAN EVARISTO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 111.4W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 111.4W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 111.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.0N 107.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.0N 104.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 111.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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