Tropical Depression FIFTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152006
0900 UTC MON OCT 09 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 117.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 117.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 117.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.3N 118.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.6N 118.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.7N 117.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.6N 117.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 22.5N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 24.0N 111.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 117.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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