Tropical Storm KRISTY

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 167N 1230W 34 31   6(37)   X(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 12 167N 1230W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 167N 1230W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 171N 1251W 34  1  22(23)   7(30)   1(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 24 171N 1251W 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 171N 1251W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 175N 1270W 34  X   4( 4)  16(20)   5(25)   2(27)   1(28)   X(28)
 36 175N 1270W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 36 175N 1270W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 175N 1285W 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   9(17)   6(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 48 175N 1285W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 48 175N 1285W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
 72 175N 1315W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   9(12)   4(16)   1(17)
 72 175N 1315W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 72 175N 1315W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 175N 1345W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)
 96 175N 1345W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 96 175N 1345W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 175N 1375W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)
120 175N 1375W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 175N 1375W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35      35      35      35      35      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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