Tropical Depression KRISTY

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006
200 AM PDT TUE SEP 05 2006
 
THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF TENACIOUS KRISTY.
THE CYCLONE CONSISTS OF A TIGHT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND
INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 
AT 30 KNOTS AND A GRADUAL SPIN DOWN IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE
MOVES TOWARD A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT.  

THE CYCLONE IS MOVING WESTWARD A LITTLE FASTER...270/6 AND IT IS
LOCATED SOUTH OF A DEVELOPING RIDGE. THEREFORE...A GENERAL WESTWARD
TRACK WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD CONTINUE
UNTIL DISSIPATION. 

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      05/0900Z 16.2N 120.5W    30 KT
 12HR VT     05/1800Z 16.2N 121.5W    30 KT
 24HR VT     06/0600Z 16.5N 123.0W    25 KT
 36HR VT     06/1800Z 16.5N 125.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 48HR VT     07/0600Z 17.0N 127.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     08/0600Z 17.0N 130.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
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