Tropical Storm KRISTY

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006
200 PM PDT FRI SEP 01 2006
 
SMALL TROPICAL STORM KRISTY IS GRADUALLY SPINNING DOWN. DEEP
CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION
AND T-NUMBERS HAVE CONTINUE TO DECREASE. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN
LOWERED TO 45 KNOTS. KRISSY IS VERY NEAR A STABLE ENVIRONMENT SO A
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST.

THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE...WITH PERHAPS A SMALL WESTWARD
DRIFT. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE
WEAK SO ONLY A SMALL WESTWARD DRIFT IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TO UNTIL DISSIPATION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      01/2100Z 19.2N 118.5W    45 KT
 12HR VT     02/0600Z 19.2N 118.7W    35 KT
 24HR VT     02/1800Z 19.2N 119.0W    25 KT
 36HR VT     03/0600Z 19.2N 119.3W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 48HR VT     03/1800Z 19.2N 120.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     04/1800Z 19.2N 121.0W    20 KT...DISSIPATED
 
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
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