Tropical Depression JOHN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOHN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A...COR
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 03 2006
 
...CORRECTED HEADER....

...JOHN WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION....

AT 5 PM CDT...0000 UTC... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

MOISTURE FROM JOHN WILL BE SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC
TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.9 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 80 KM...NORTHWEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO.
 
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER BAJA
CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY...AND JOHN
COULD DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA
PENINSULA. NORTHWESTERN MEXICO COULD RECEIVE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. MOISTURE FROM JOHN COULD HELP PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAIN OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AND WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH
MONDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...27.8 N...112.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

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