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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression NINE-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
2100 UTC TUE AUG 15 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 134N 1155W 34 31  16(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 12 134N 1155W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 134N 1155W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 139N 1176W 34  1  41(42)  13(55)   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 24 139N 1176W 50  X   8( 8)   7(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 24 139N 1176W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 143N 1196W 34  X   8( 8)  39(47)  12(59)   3(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 36 143N 1196W 50  X   X( X)  13(13)   8(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 36 143N 1196W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 151N 1216W 34  X   1( 1)  14(15)  30(45)  13(58)   1(59)   X(59)
 48 151N 1216W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   8(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 48 151N 1216W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 171N 1253W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  29(33)   7(40)   1(41)
 72 171N 1253W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)
 72 171N 1253W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 195N 1290W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   2(19)
 96 195N 1290W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 96 195N 1290W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
 
120 220N 1330W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
120 220N 1330W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 220N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     45      55      65      65      50      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
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