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Tropical Storm FABIO


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072006               
0300 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 148N 1250W 34 52  12(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 12 148N 1250W 50  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 12 148N 1250W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 152N 1273W 34  2  43(45)   9(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 152N 1273W 50  X   8( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 24 152N 1273W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 158N 1297W 34  X   6( 6)  28(34)   8(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 36 158N 1297W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 36 158N 1297W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 163N 1320W 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  15(23)   6(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 48 163N 1320W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 163N 1320W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 165N 1365W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   3(14)   1(15)
 72 165N 1365W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 165N 1365W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 165N 1415W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 96 165N 1415W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 165N 1415W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 165N 1465W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
120 165N 1465W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 165N 1465W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      45      40      35      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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