Tropical Depression SIX-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006
0300 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 8(31) 1(32)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 4(14)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 141N 1040W 34 32 9(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
12 141N 1040W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 141N 1040W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 154N 1054W 34 1 22(23) 9(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35) 1(36)
24 154N 1054W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
24 154N 1054W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 163N 1070W 34 X 5( 5) 20(25) 9(34) 4(38) X(38) X(38)
36 163N 1070W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 163N 1070W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 173N 1085W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 17(25) 9(34) 2(36) X(36)
48 173N 1085W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10)
48 173N 1085W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 190N 1110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 18(23) 7(30) 2(32)
72 190N 1110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
72 190N 1110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 205N 1135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 11(19) 3(22)
96 205N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
96 205N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 1160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12)
120 225N 1160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 225N 1160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 40 45 50 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: