Tropical Storm EMILIA
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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006
2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM
MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 104.6W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 104.6W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.5W
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.8N 105.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.2N 106.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.3N 108.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.9N 110.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 85NE 75SE 75SW 85NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.3N 112.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 85NE 75SE 75SW 85NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 24.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 26.5N 119.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 104.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
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FORECASTER STEWART
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