Hurricane DANIEL

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HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006
1500 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 126.3W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 126.3W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 125.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.7N 127.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.2N 129.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.6N 131.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.1N 133.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 17.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 126.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
 
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