Tropical Storm CARLOTTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006
2100 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA CLARION 50 73 X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 189N 1156W 34 81 6(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
12 189N 1156W 50 28 4(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
12 189N 1156W 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 192N 1175W 34 4 36(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
24 192N 1175W 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 192N 1175W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 195N 1195W 34 1 4( 5) 12(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
36 195N 1195W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 195N 1195W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 195N 1215W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) X(13) 1(14)
48 195N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 195N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 195N 1235W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10)
72 195N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 195N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 196N 1260W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7)
96 196N 1260W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 196N 1260W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 195N 1285W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
120 195N 1285W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 195N 1285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 40 30 25 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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