Hurricane ISAAC
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
2100 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 23(23) 52(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 2( 2) 21(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 38(38) 28(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X 4( 4) 18(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X 12(12) 14(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SYDNEY NS 34 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 34 2 17(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 397N 591W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 397N 591W 50 53 13(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
12 397N 591W 64 20 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
24 451N 562W 34 X 79(79) 6(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
24 451N 562W 50 X 29(29) 9(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
24 451N 562W 64 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
36 495N 520W 34 X 2( 2) 61(63) 7(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
36 495N 520W 50 X X( X) 19(19) 8(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
36 495N 520W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 525N 470W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 41(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
48 525N 470W 50 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
48 525N 470W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 60 55 50 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN
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