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Tropical Storm HELENE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  50           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 40.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 425N  346W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 425N  346W 50 83   6(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 12 425N  346W 64 14   8(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
 24 436N  318W 34 59  29(88)   5(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 24 436N  318W 50  6  52(58)   8(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 24 436N  318W 64  X  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
 36 442N  280W 34  4  28(32)  36(68)   7(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 36 442N  280W 50  X   3( 3)  28(31)   6(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 36 442N  280W 64  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 48 451N  237W 34  X   1( 1)  15(16)  30(46)   7(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 48 451N  237W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 48 451N  237W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 485N  140W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 72 485N  140W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 485N  140W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     60     55      50      45      40       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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