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Hurricane HELENE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  49                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
39.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 416N  366W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 416N  366W 50 97   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 416N  366W 64 21  21(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
 24 432N  331W 34 66  30(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 432N  331W 50  2  69(71)   7(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 24 432N  331W 64  X  15(15)   8(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
 36 445N  300W 34  2  51(53)  28(81)   4(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 36 445N  300W 50  X  10(10)  39(49)   5(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 445N  300W 64  X   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
 48 450N  260W 34  X   5( 5)  31(36)  22(58)   6(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 48 450N  260W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  19(24)   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 48 450N  260W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 470N  180W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  31(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 72 470N  180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 72 470N  180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     65      60      50      45       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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