Hurricane HELENE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 362N  516W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 362N  516W 50 77   8(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 12 362N  516W 64 37   7(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
 24 379N  474W 34 13  73(86)   6(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 24 379N  474W 50  X  48(48)  10(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 24 379N  474W 64  X  16(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 36 400N  428W 34  X   8( 8)  63(71)   9(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 36 400N  428W 50  X   X( X)  36(36)   9(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 36 400N  428W 64  X   X( X)  10(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
 48 424N  375W 34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  51(58)  12(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 48 424N  375W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   9(33)   1(34)   X(34)
 48 424N  375W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 
 72 475N  290W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  46(46)  10(56)   X(56)
 72 475N  290W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   5(23)   X(23)
 72 475N  290W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
 
 
 96 525N  200W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  28(31)   7(38)
 96 525N  200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   3(16)
 96 525N  200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
 
 
120 565N  150W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  13(25)
120 565N  150W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
120 565N  150W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     65      65      65      65      55      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN