Tropical Storm HELENE

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TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  32.7W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  32.7W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  31.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.7N  35.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.7N  37.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.9N  39.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.4N  41.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.0N  43.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N  45.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 22.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  32.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA
 
 
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