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Hurricane GORDON


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0300 UTC SUN SEP 17 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 333N  532W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 333N  532W 50 70   9(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 12 333N  532W 64 18   4(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
 24 353N  512W 34  9  71(80)   8(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 24 353N  512W 50  X  38(38)   9(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
 24 353N  512W 64  X  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
 36 374N  473W 34  X   6( 6)  55(61)  10(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 36 374N  473W 50  X   X( X)  22(22)   7(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 36 374N  473W 64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 48 389N  417W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  41(45)   9(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 48 389N  417W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   6(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 48 389N  417W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 400N  275W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 72 400N  275W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 72 400N  275W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     60     60      55      55      50       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
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