Hurricane GORDON

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 317N  534W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 317N  534W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 317N  534W 64 56   6(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 
 24 326N  527W 34 60  24(84)   5(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 24 326N  527W 50 17  33(50)   6(56)   2(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 24 326N  527W 64  4  12(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
 36 336N  520W 34 10  40(50)  18(68)   7(75)   2(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 36 336N  520W 50  2  14(16)  15(31)   6(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 36 336N  520W 64  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
 48 355N  505W 34  2   7( 9)  16(25)  25(50)  10(60)   1(61)   X(61)
 48 355N  505W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  12(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 48 355N  505W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 410N  410W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  28(28)  10(38)   X(38)
 72 410N  410W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   4(12)   X(12)
 72 410N  410W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 430N  260W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   X(20)
 96 430N  260W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 96 430N  260W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     60      55      55      50      50       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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