Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC SAT SEP 09 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 20(28)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 18(33)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 13(31)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 6(21)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 5(34)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) 29(49) 29(78) 1(79) X(79)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 29(45) 1(46) X(46)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 1(26) X(26)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 251N 643W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 251N 643W 50 76 9(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
12 251N 643W 64 20 14(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
24 267N 654W 34 73 22(95) 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 267N 654W 50 6 57(63) 10(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
24 267N 654W 64 1 29(30) 11(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
36 286N 659W 34 26 36(62) 26(88) 5(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
36 286N 659W 50 X 13(13) 39(52) 10(62) 3(65) X(65) X(65)
36 286N 659W 64 X 3( 3) 25(28) 8(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38)
48 306N 658W 34 1 16(17) 36(53) 23(76) 10(86) 1(87) X(87)
48 306N 658W 50 X X( X) 17(17) 25(42) 12(54) 1(55) X(55)
48 306N 658W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 8(31) X(31) X(31)
72 360N 630W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 50(55) 11(66) 1(67)
72 360N 630W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 7(35) X(35)
72 360N 630W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 3(18) X(18)
96 430N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 9(45)
96 430N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20)
96 430N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
120 490N 460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22)
120 490N 460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
120 490N 460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 85 90 85 70 60
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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