Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 21(58) 8(66)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 13(28) 6(34)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 3(18)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 223N 580W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 223N 580W 50 28 14(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 1(43) X(43)
12 223N 580W 64 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 237N 604W 34 48 39(87) 5(92) 1(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
24 237N 604W 50 X 35(35) 13(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
24 237N 604W 64 X 7( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 250N 625W 34 2 41(43) 35(78) 9(87) 2(89) 1(90) X(90)
36 250N 625W 50 X 5( 5) 36(41) 9(50) 4(54) X(54) X(54)
36 250N 625W 64 X X( X) 13(13) 7(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22)
48 265N 645W 34 X 5( 5) 38(43) 27(70) 12(82) 2(84) X(84)
48 265N 645W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 25(34) 13(47) 1(48) X(48)
48 265N 645W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 7(23) 2(25) X(25)
72 300N 655W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 38(63) 9(72) 2(74)
72 300N 655W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 8(39) 2(41)
72 300N 655W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 6(22) 1(23)
96 340N 645W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 27(48) 13(61)
96 340N 645W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 8(31)
96 340N 645W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16)
120 420N 580W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 29(32)
120 420N 580W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
120 420N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 55 65 75 90 90 90
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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