Tropical Storm FLORENCE

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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  48.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  48.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  48.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.0N  49.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.8N  51.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.7N  54.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.6N  56.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.3N  61.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  60SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N  65.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  48.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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