Tropical Storm ERNESTO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
BALTIMORE MD 34 1 7( 8) 10(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DOVER DE 34 1 6( 7) 7(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 1 10(11) 9(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WASHINGTON DC 34 1 11(12) 10(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
WASHINGTON DC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 8(10) 5(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 8 25(33) 4(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
RICHMOND VA 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 21 23(44) 3(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
NORFOLK VA 50 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GREENSBORO NC 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RALEIGH NC 34 11 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 36 1(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 91 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 61 X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 357N 773W 34 79 5(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
12 357N 773W 50 16 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
12 357N 773W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 376N 772W 34 8 24(32) 5(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
24 376N 772W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 376N 772W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 394N 775W 34 1 5( 6) 10(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
36 394N 775W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 394N 775W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 417N 784W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
48 417N 784W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 417N 784W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 30 25 25 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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