Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
800 AM EDT MON AUG 28 2006

...ERNESTO MOVING ONSHORE OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA......HEAVY
RAINS...FLOODS...AND MUD SLIDES STILL A SIGNIFICANT THREAT
FOR HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA OF
FLORIDA FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM
SOUTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST.  A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
ANDROS ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
ADDITIONAL HURRICANE WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI ARE DISCONTINUED.  

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS...AND
CAMAGUEY.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR RAGGED ISLAND AND GREAT
EXUMA IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS ON THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA ABOUT 20 MILES...30
KM...WEST OF GUANTANAMO.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ERNESTO WILL BE MOVING OVER EASTERN CUBA
TODAY...AND POSSIBLY EMERGE OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA LATER
TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS
ERNESTO MOVES OVER LAND TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES AND WAVES SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH ALONG THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF EASTERN CUBA TODAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND
CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...19.9 N...75.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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