Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
2100 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  78.7W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  50SW  25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  78.7W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  79.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.7N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.0N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 38.5N  77.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 41.0N  78.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  78.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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