Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
0300 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006

...CORRECTED TO REMOVE INLAND AT 48 HOURS AND TO ADD 36 HOURS NEAR
JAMAICA...
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  69.1W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  69.1W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  68.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.6N  71.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.6N  73.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.8N  76.4W...NEAR JAMAICA
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 24.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 26.0N  90.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  69.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB
 
 
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