Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm DEBBY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
0900 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 241N  446W 34 53  13(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 12 241N  446W 50  9   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 12 241N  446W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 258N  473W 34  X  44(44)  12(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 24 258N  473W 50  X   9( 9)   6(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 24 258N  473W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 280N  495W 34  X   2( 2)  40(42)  10(52)   4(56)   X(56)   1(57)
 36 280N  495W 50  X   X( X)  12(12)   8(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 280N  495W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 300N  505W 34  X   X( X)  14(14)  27(41)  12(53)   1(54)   X(54)
 48 300N  505W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   7(21)   X(21)   1(22)
 48 300N  505W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 335N  500W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  28(38)  10(48)   1(49)
 72 335N  500W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   4(17)   X(17)
 72 335N  500W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 390N  430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  25(26)   8(34)
 96 390N  430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)
 96 390N  430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 450N  350W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)
120 450N  350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
120 450N  350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     45      50      55      55      55      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN